Wednesday, January 8, 2025

Washington D.C. Puked

By Ben Lily, Senior Crypto Analyst, Brownstone Research
Editor's Note: Today, you'll hear from Jeff's senior crypto analyst, Ben Lilly…
A critical shift in sentiment regarding crypto is coming. After years of regulatory overreach, we're now less than two weeks away from a very pro-crypto, pro-innovation administration entering the White House.
Ben and Jeff have been following these developments closely. There's a team of crypto enthusiasts about to come into power and that spells opportunity in the crypto industry.
Next Wednesday, January 15, at 8 p.m. ET, Jeff will dive into the details of the historic crypto boom that's on the horizon… and how to get ahead of it.
You can go here to automatically add your name to the guest list. Then read on for Ben's deep dive into the crypto sentiment shift coming to Washington, D.C., and what it means for the industry…

Something remarkable is happening in the crypto markets right now, and it's not what you might expect.
We're witnessing what I call a "sentiment capitulation" – but instead of playing out on price charts, it's unfolding in the halls of Washington, D.C. That's where Jeff is right now, and why I'm writing to you today.
Typically, market capitulation shows up as a "V" pattern on charts – that moment when traders throw in the towel, volume spikes, and prices hit bottom before sharply rebounding.
Knowing when this is taking place in markets can be incredibly lucrative.
But it doesn't always show itself in price charts…
The Steamrolling Continues
The November election of Donald Trump marked a historic shift in the cryptocurrency market.
Trump platformed on being pro-crypto and pro-innovation. He's looking to embrace the sector and help make America a powerhouse in this industry.
It's a stark contrast to, well, everything we've seen out of the government so far….
In fact, over the last year, the SEC and the current administration have gone after some of the most successful and compliant cryptocurrency businesses to date.
These include the publicly traded U.S.-based exchange Coinbase… the wallet providing access to 30 million active users in crypto named MetaMask… the biggest hub of developer talent at a private firm, ConsenSys… and the most successful decentralized exchange, Uniswap.
Those were just the big names. There were many others… And the combined actions of the SEC and the Biden administration have impacted countless smaller organizations, exchanges, and even startups. To say it's been a hostile environment the last few years is an understatement.
It's been an all-out assault.
Anti-crypto senators were rallying to create anti-crypto armies. Lawmakers and regulators have broken banking laws as they pressured banks to cut ties with cryptocurrency companies via Operation Chokepoint 2.0.
Their actions have even led to incredible developers getting jailed in what will soon be seen for what it was – a violation of the First Amendment's right to free speech.
The last few years could arm a writer looking to pen a non-fiction Orwellian nightmare book.
This is why if sentiment was a line on a chart, it was accelerating downward until November 4. The election marked the capitulation point. And ever since, sentiment has sprung back the other way at incredible speed.
In the last month, we've seen waves of crypto supporters filling up the highest ranks of the incoming U.S. administration.
This includes people like Donald Trump, Vice President J.D. Vance, Department of Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., SEC Chairman Paul Atkins, National Security Advisor Michael Waltz, Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, Department of Government Efficiency heads Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, and so many more.
Negative sentiment is being steamrolled out of Washington, D.C. And that's exactly why Jeff is there this week.
In fact, even the wrongs of the prior years are being brought to light.
In what has been labeled Operation Chokepoint 2.0, federal regulators are being blamed for businesses related to banking to be unbanked.
When this viewpoint was first mentioned, it was dismissed as a conspiracy theory. But with the recent release of the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA), we are seeing our own government pressuring banks to withhold access to cryptocurrency entities or possible services.
These findings are catching up with some of the most influential in Washington, D.C., with Michael Barr being the most recent appointee to resign. His resignation comes shortly after the most recent correspondence between regulators and banks came to light.
And as the venture capitalist spearheading the uncovering of Operation Chokepoint 2.0, Nic Carter, shows below, the swamp is getting cleaned up.
Source: @Nic_Carter on X.com
The cleanup is in full swing, and the replacements are ready to pave the road for crypto to run free…
The House's New Conductor
Representative French Hill (R-AR) was elected a few weeks ago to take over what is arguably the most important committee in the House of Representatives when it comes to the financial industry. He's now the chairman of the Financial Services Committee.
This is big news.
For those not following various bills that ebb and flow through Congress, committees are where bills start their journey. It's where they get drafted, earn support, get approved, and make their way to the House or Senate for voting.
Representative Hill has mentioned he plans to promote bills related to stablecoins and market structure during his tenure, meaning we can expect the committee's agenda will have cryptocurrency guidance high up on the priority list.
Hill went on to criticize Gary Gensler's law enforcement on cryptocurrencies, signaling his alignment with the incoming administration's view on the industry.
This bodes well for pieces of legislation that have previously stalled out in Congress that could have provided guidance for the cryptocurrency industry such as the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act or FIT 21 for short.
We can expect to see bills such as FIT 21 come back up in committee very early on in 2025 and likely have more support than ever.
The second piece of news was regarding the confirmation of SEC's Caroline Crenshaw…
Crenshaw has served as an SEC commissioner since 2020 and was picked for a second term by President Biden not too long ago.
She has been labeled as being more anti-crypto than Chairman Gary Gensler himself during her time at the SEC, mostly due to her voting against the approval of the spot Bitcoin ETF.
Democrats recently tried to get her nominated for another term before the Republicans take over in 2025. However, Senate Republicans were successful in getting the vote delayed, which ultimately prevented Crenshaw's approval before the end of the year.
This means Republicans essentially have the final say for who the Democrats can recommend to fill the Democrat position at the SEC.
It also means Crenshaw would join the other two SEC Democrats on the way out – Gary Gensler and Jaime Lizárraga. Jaime had to leave for personal reasons while Gensler has announced he plans to step down in January on the day of Trump's inauguration.
This type of change at the SEC is a full cleanse of SEC commissioners who have consistently pushed a harmful approach toward the blockchain industry.
The cryptocurrency industry could not have imagined a better situation for 2025.
Recommended link

This coming Wednesday, January 15, at 8 pm ET, Jeff will be hosting his first special strategy session of the year…

To help you prepare for the inauguration of America's first ever pro-crypto president.

Jeff believes if you know which "Trump coins" to buy, you could turn a tiny stake into a six-figure next egg, possibly by the end of the year.

Click here to automatically RSVP and during his strategy session he'll even give you the name of a "Trump coin" completely free of charge.

The Reversal Is Underway
The last piece of news has to do with the unfilled commissioner spot at the other main regulatory body as it pertains to finance, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission…
According to a Bloomberg report that surfaced last month, Brian Quintenz is Trump's top contender for the CFTC.
This name might sound familiar as Brian served as CFTC Chair between 2017 and 2021. What most don't realize is since his departure, he's become head of policy at Andreessen Horowitz's crypto division, a16z.
A16z is arguably the largest venture firm that exists in the cryptocurrency industry with more than $7.6 billion in committed capital across multiple funds. Meaning a Brian Quintenz nomination to the CFTC would make the two most important regulatory bodies as it pertains to financial markets, pro-crypto.
The reversal is underway…
When we take a few steps back and look at how far things have progressed – and the pace of that progression – we can see how this changing of the guard is reminiscent of regulatory capitulation in terms of crypto sentiment.
The reversal here is not just one or two favorable picks in the administration. It's a sweeping change.
It represents a foundation upon which growth can continue for years, not just a flash-in-the-pan reaction.
What It Means
An outsider looking in will view the recent price action and believe all the positive regulatory momentum that has come crypto's way is already "priced in."
This saying is shortsighted. It implies that all the possible and future gains that crypto will realize in 2025 have already materialized.
But that is not the case.
That's because regulatory overreach was not just suppressing investor sentiment and prices.It was suppressing developer innovation.
Many projects and their accompanying tokens have lacked much innovation over the last couple of years for fear of regulatory backlash.
There was no incentive to push the boundaries and create truly next-generation designs. To be the first to break through on something new meant exposing oneself and one's team to regulatory scrutiny…
And the worst possible thing for a startup…
The need to hire an army of lawyers.
It's a massive drain on any project's treasury and balance sheet. Adding this type of expense was a death blow to all but the biggest businesses.
It's, in part, why we typically only see some of the largest entities pushing back.
Removing this burden means new projects can start releasing their projects and ideas into the market for all to see… Without fear.
It means wave after wave of opportunity to come.
And it's why any insider or investor who has tracked this space is now working at their desk around the clock, just like we are.
There will never be another moment like what we are witnessing today. 2025 will be the fastest action any of us have ever seen.
The starting gun has already been shot, and the teams are racing as we rebound from this moment of regulatory capitulation.
Don't fall behind.
Your Pulse on Crypto,
Ben Lilly
Senior Crypto Analyst, Brownstone Research
P.S. I've been active in the cryptocurrency industry for a decade. I've seen trend after trend create massive euphoria in these markets. And what is happening right now in the industry should not be ignored. One of the biggest trends is beginning to unfold right now.
To help visualize what is coming, here's a chart from crypto research company Messari that highlights what's coming down the line – an explosion of AI-related investments.
The current trend is unfolding with the first iteration of AI agents.
You might have read my piece The Bleeding Edge – The Agentic Economy Goes Permissionless where I discussed this trend in great detail. And even a project that was worth $0.38 in November when the issue was published just recently eclipsed $5 per token.
But what many don't realize is the proverbial puck is getting ready to move to a new area within this AI trend.
To find out more about this, be sure to tune into Jeff's special strategy session next week where we unveil a special new service he and I have been working hard to bring to you ahead of this coming crypto boom. You can go here to automatically sign up to attend next Wednesday, January 15, at 8 p.m. ET.
You won't want to miss out on what will be the hottest trend of 2025, just as regulatory conditions give the industry a green light to innovate at lightning speed.

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We had a wide range of exciting topics this week for our AMA today.

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