Friday, September 27, 2024

Dividend Investor Insights: Four Dividend-paying Gold Funds to Purchase as Shields from Crises

Four Dividend-paying Gold Funds to Purchase as Shields from Crises

09/27/2024

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Four dividend-paying gold funds to purchase as shields from crises look enticing based on current momentum.

The four dividend-paying gold funds to purchase as safeguards from catastrophes should serve as safe havens for investors with the precious yellow metal currently on the ascent. BofA Global Research's 2024 targets for the price of gold per ounce of $2,368, $2,538 and $2,643 already have been reached.

The next BofA target level is about $2,733 per ounce and it appears well within reach. Citi Research is even more bullish on gold with a forecast of $3,000 per ounce in 2025, compared to Friday, Sept. 27, when the precious yellow metal closed at $2,673.40.

Four Dividend-paying Gold Funds to Purchase as Shields: Carlson's Counsel

"Gold's price moves based on several factors," said Bob Carlson, a retired pension fund chairman who leads the Retirement Watch investment newsletter and recommends several portfolios of his favorite stocks and funds. "Many think of gold as an inflation hedge and, in general, it is. But gold also is sensitive to other factors. When interest rates rise, that often hurts gold's price because it doesn't pay income. Gold also is correlated with the amount of liquidity in the economy. When the Fed reduces liquidity as it did in 2022, that tends to put downward pressure on gold."

Four Dividend-paying Gold Funds to Purchase as Shields: Inflation Ebbs

Futures markets indicated earlier in 2024 that most investors believed inflation's ascent was temporary, Carlson told me. They expected inflation to fall quickly, so those expectations of low long-term inflation hurt gold in 2022, he added.

Since gold is a "crisis hedge," that perception by investors recently has boosted the precious metal's price, Carlson said. Banking problems in the United States and elsewhere, rising chances of at least a mild recession, verbal sparring between leaders in America and Russia, China and Iran, as well as other events, spiked uncertainty and the potential for further crises, he added.


Retirement Watch leader Bob Carlson meets with Paul Dykewicz.

Four Dividend-paying Gold Funds to Purchase as Shields; Crises Occur

"Investors should have some exposure to gold in their portfolios unless they believe the potential for crises is low," Carlson said. "Stocks of gold mining companies tend to move in the same direction as gold but are more volatile. The stocks will rise more than gold in bull markets and decline more than gold in bear markets."

Gold mining funds basically serve as leveraged plays on the precious metal, Carlson counseled. The mining companies have high fixed costs but low variable costs. When the price of gold rises above a company's cost of production, most of the price hike goes to the company's bottom line, he added.

But many mining companies now make their revenues less volatile by entering into contracts that sell much of their future production at fixed prices. They'll profit less from gold price hikes but reduce the fallout from price declines.

Shares of mining companies not always move in line with gold. A company may have management or labor problems, carry too much debt, or have other characteristics that cause its share price to decline when gold's price is rising, Carlson cautioned.


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Four Dividend-paying Gold Funds to Purchase as Shields: ETFs Reduce Risk

ETFs provide many ways to invest in stocks of gold mining companies. For the adventurous, there are ETFs that aim to earn two to three times the change in indexes of the companies, on both the upside and downside, through leverage. There also are funds that sell short the shares for those who are bearish on the sector.

Most investors should look at funds that either actively invest in gold miners or aim to track an index of the miners. The relative performance of the major ETFs varies over time. That's why Carlson said he recommends that an investor interested in profiting from gold mining stocks buy a basket of the largest and oldest ETFs in the sector.

Four Dividend-paying Gold Funds to Purchase as Shields from Crises: GDX

The first gold mining fund championed by Carlson is VanEck Gold Miners (NYSE ARCA: GDX). The ETF seeks to replicate, as closely as possible before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index (GDMNTR). That index is intended to track the overall performance of companies involved in gold mining.

GDX is highly liquid and arguably is the popular investment product of its kind. The fund also retains a cost advantage compared to its competitors, according to Morningstar.

The top 10 holdings in GDX account for 62.6% of its assets. GDX's weightings encompass: Newmont Corp., 14.53%; Agnico Eagle Mines, 9.49%; Barrick Gold Corp., 8.12%; Wheaton Precious Metals Corp., 6.53%; and Franco-Nevada Corp., 5.59%. GDX gained 2.19% in the last month, 17.91% in the past three months, 30.15% for far this year and 52.42% in the prior 12 months.


Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

GDX is a current recommendation of Bryan Perry, a seasoned Wall Street investment professional who includes stocks, funds and options in his Quick Income Trader advisory service. The fund is up 9.31% since it became part of his portfolio on Sept. 4. 


Bryan Perry leads Cash Machine and Quick Income Trader.

Carlson's Second of Four Dividend-paying Gold Funds to Purchase as Shields

Carlson also is recommending iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners (RING), an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks to invest in companies that are mainly engaged in the business of gold mining.

RING holds a sizable cost advantage over its competitors, according to Morningstar. The fund has an array of gold mining stocks but the largest weighting by far is with Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM), consisting of 20.70% of the fund's portfolio. Other top holdings and their respective percentage of the fund are Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd. (NYSE: AEM), 13.19%; Barrick Gold Corp. (NYSE: ABX), 11.24%; and Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Ltd. (NYSE: WMP), 4.50% and Kinross Gold Corp. (NYSE: KGC), 4.49%.

The fund rose 2.86% in the last month, 21.34% in the prior three months and 37.68% so far this year and 61.51% in the past 12 months.


Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

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Four Dividend-paying Gold Funds to Purchase as Shields: Sprott Gold Miners

The third gold mining fund Carlson highlighted is Sprott Gold Miners Exchange Traded Fund (NYSE Arca: SGDM). The ETF seeks investment results that correspond, before fees and expenses, to the performance of the Solactive Gold Miners Custom Factors Index. That index aims to track large-sized gold companies whose stocks are listed on Canadian and major U.S. exchanges.

The index uses a transparent, rules-based methodology that is designed to emphasize large gold companies with the highest revenue growth, free cash flow yield and lowest long-term debt to equity. The Index is reconstituted quarterly to reflect the companies with the highest scores.

The top five holdings and their weightings in SGDM are: Newmont Corp., 13.58%; Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd., 9.58%; Barrick Gold, 8.73%; Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Ltd., 7.34%; and Franco-Nevada Corp. (NYSE: FNV), 6.48%. The fund rose 1.36% in the past month, 16.73% in the prior three months and 25.39% so far this year and 39.25% in the last 12 months.


Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

Four Dividend-paying Gold Funds to Purchase as Shields from Crises: GOAU

The fourth gold fund Carlson praised is US Global GO Gold and Precious Metal Miners (NYSE ARCA: GOAU). The fund provides investors access to companies engaged in the production of precious metals either through activities such as mining or production, or passive ownership of royalties or production streams.

GOAU's top five holdings and their weightings consist of: Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (NYSE: WPN), 9.78%; Royal Gold Inc. (NASDAQ: RGLD), 9.74%; Franco-Nevada Corp., 9.689%; Sandstorm Gold Ltd. (NYSE: SAND), 4.05%; and Dundee Precious Metals Inc. (NYSE: DPM), 3.99%. The fund climbed 4.40% in the past month, 14.47% in the prior three months, 28.48% so far this year and 49.81% in the previous 12 months.

Jim Woods, who heads the Bullseye Stock Trader advisory service, recommended Royal Gold and a related call option on March 30. The service, offering both recommendations of stocks and options, strategically identifies precious metal holdings for its subscribers to buy with the goal of producing quick profits. 


Jim Woods heads Bullseye Stock Trader.

"Royal Gold manages precious metal royalties and streams, with a focus on gold," Woods wrote to subscribers of his premium Bullseye Stock Trader service. "The company operates by purchasing a percentage of the metal produced from a mineral property for an initial payment, without assuming the responsibility for overseeing mining operations. Precious metal streams are purchase agreements with mine operators providing the right to purchase all or a portion of one or more metals produced from a mine in exchange for an upfront deposit payment."

Generally, Royal Gold does not conduct any work on the properties in which it holds royalty and streaming assets, Woods continued. The company owns a portfolio of producing, development, evaluation and exploration royalties and streams, he added.

During the past three years, RGLD has posted annual earnings per share (EPS) growth rate of above 20%, a robust metric that put it in the top quartile of earnings growers. At the time of its recommendation in Bullseye Stock Trader, Royal Gold ranked in the top 13% of all stocks in terms of relative price strength, Woods wrote.


Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

Four Dividend-paying Gold Funds to Purchase as Shields Omit GLD

A fifth gold fund, SPDR Gold ETF (GLD), does not pay a dividend but is recommended by Mark Skousen, PhD, in his Forecasts & Strategies investment newsletter. GLD is up 24.19% with his recommendation of SDR Gold ETF since it became a recommendation in Forecasts & Strategies.

"Gold is a long-term hedge against inflation and geopolitical instability," Skousen wrote to his subscribers of his newsletter.


Mark Skousen heads Forecasts & Strategies.

GLD, listed on the New York Stock Exchange in November of 2004, has traded on NYSE Arca since December 13, 2007. SPDR Gold is the world's largest physically backed gold exchange traded fund.


Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

The four dividend-paying gold funds to purchase offer investment hedges against crises. Any of the four dividend-paying gold funds to purchase for protection could prove to be profitable picks, regardless of Russia's raging war against Ukraine, China's conflict-prone saber-rattling, the continuing Middle East conflict and any other unexpected calamities.

Sincerely,

Paul Dykewicz, Editor
DividendInvestor.com

About Paul Dykewicz:

Paul Dykewicz is an accomplished, award-winning journalist who has written for Dow Jones, the Wall Street Journal, Investor’s Business Daily, USA Today, Seeking Alpha, GuruFocus and other publications and websites. Paul is the editor of StockInvestor.com and DividendInvestor.com, a writer for both websites and a columnist. He further is the editorial director of Eagle Financial Publications in Washington, D.C., where he edits monthly investment newsletters, time-sensitive trading alerts, free e-letters and other investment reports. Paul also is the author of an inspirational book, "Holy Smokes! Golden Guidance from Notre Dame's Championship Chaplain", with a foreword by former national championship-winning football coach Lou Holtz. Follow Paul on Twitter @PaulDykewicz.

 
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